1/72Blind Box Odds

Series calculator: Sonny Angel

Sonny Angel secret odds: your real chance of Robby

Stores list Robby at 1 in 144, and many series add a second secret at 2 in 144. At $12.25 a box, an even chance at Robby takes 100 boxes, or $1,225.

Sonny Angel at a glance
MakerDreams Inc., Japan
Official oddsNot published. Sonny Angel says only “Secret figures are rarer than regular figures”
RobbyAbout 1 in 144, as listed by stores
Second secretOften 2 in 144, so any secret is about 1 in 48
Series sizes in 202612 regulars + 1 secret (Hippers Cherry Blossom) or 6 regulars + 2 secrets (Summer Vacation)
Price$12.25 a box, $147 for 12 or $73.50 for 6, at the Sonny Angel USA store

1. Your chance of Robby, or any secret

One 12-box assortment is 12.
$
Change it to what you pay.

Your chance of at least one secret in 12 boxes: 8%

You'd spend$147.00
Even chance takes100 boxes$1,225.00
90% chance takes331 boxes$4,054.75

Even after 144 boxes, your chance is only about 63%, because every box is a fresh roll and nothing carries over.

2. What every regular figure costs

A secret takes a regular figure's place.
$
$
Use 6 for six-box series.

Buying random single boxes, the average collector needs 37 boxes to see all 12 regular figures.

Average cost$453.25
Repeats on the way25 figures
Unlucky 1 in 10 needs56 boxes$686.00

That's about 3.1 assortment boxes of 12 at $147.00 each. An assortment box can still have repeats, so buying by the box doesn't skip this math.

Next stepIs buying the secret cheaper than pulling it? Compare the two.

Robby or any secret?

Many series have two secrets. Store listings often show the first at 2 in 144 and Robby at 1 in 144.

Add them up and any secret is 3 in 144, or 1 in 48. An even chance at any secret takes 33 boxes, about $404. Robby alone takes 100.

These numbers come from stores, not from Dreams. Treat the answers as a good guide, not a promise.

An assortment box won't promise a full set

Sonny Angel's own store says buying an assortment box "does not guarantee a full set." So repeats can happen even when you buy the whole box.

Dreams knows fans feel it. Alan Buff of Dreams USA told Fortune, "There's disappointment that comes when they get one they already have."

Collector Adi Sharpe pulled her Robby from a $14 box, and calls the hunt "my version of going to the casino." Set a box limit before you start.

Questions collectors ask

Does every series have a Robby?

No. The Shu Uemura series says "There is no Secret or Robby Angel included in this series." Check your series first.

How many boxes give me a 90% chance at Robby?

331 boxes at 1 in 144. At $12.25, that's $4,054.75.

Odds for other series