1/72Blind Box Odds

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Should you pull the secret or just buy it?

At 1 in 72, the average fan opens 72 boxes to pull the secret. At $26.99 a box, that's $1,943.28, while DuoDuo from Have a Seat averages about $146 on StockX.

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eBay takes 13.6% in most categories.

The average collector opens 72 boxes to pull the secret, for a net cost of $1,943.28.

Even chance takes50 boxes$1,349.50
90% chance takes165 boxes$4,453.35
Back from repeats$0.00

Buying the secret for $146.00 costs about $1,797.28 less than the average pull. Pulling only wins if you'd open the boxes anyway.

Next stepSet a budget and see what it really buys.

Half of fans pull it sooner, and some much later

The average is 72 boxes, but that number hides a wide spread. Half of fans pull a 1 in 72 secret within 50 boxes, while 1 in 10 need 165 or more.

Even the lucky half spends $1,349.50 at $26.99 a box. As of May 2026, Labubu Collector found the Big Into Energy secret on eBay for about $100 to $250.

So for most secrets, buying costs a small slice of pulling. The gap only closes when the boxes are cheap and the secret is rare and pricey.

Selling your repeats helps less than you'd think

Say you sell every repeat for $20. After eBay's 13.6% fee, 71 repeats bring back $1,226.88, and pulling still costs $716.40 on average.

That's also 71 listings, 71 parcels and a lot of trips to the post office. (Type your own resale price above to see your number.)

So selling only shrinks the gap. At $146, buying DuoDuo still costs less than the $716.40 that pulling leaves you paying.

When pulling still makes sense

If you'd buy the regular figures anyway, the secret is a free bonus on boxes you wanted. Collector Dani Barron told People, "Luckily, all my secrets have been pulled from blind boxes I paid retail for."

The trouble starts when you keep buying boxes only for the secret. Then every repeat is money spent on something you didn't want, and the calculator above shows how fast that grows.

Questions collectors ask

Will the secret I buy hold its value?

Often not at first. One buyer paid $1,800 for the Big Into Energy secret on June 13, 2025, and by May 2026 it sold for about $100 to $250.

Why does the calculator use 72 boxes as the average?

With odds of 1 in 72, the average wait is exactly 72 boxes. The even-chance and 90% numbers show the range around it.

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