1/72Blind Box Odds

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What will $200 of blind boxes really get you?

At $26.99 a box, $200 buys 7 Labubu boxes. That's about a 9% chance of the secret and a 5% chance of all 6 regulars, while a whole set costs $161.94.

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Your budget buys 7 boxes, with about a 9% chance of the secret.

Different figures (average)4.3 of 6
Repeats3 figures
Chance of every regular5%

A whole set of 6 costs about $161.94. Buy that first and you get every regular figure for sure, with $38.06 left over.

Next stepWant only a few figures from a whole set? Split it with friends.

Set the number before the first box

Blind boxes are easy to overspend on, because each one feels small. Collector Ethan Melillo told Refinery29, "I'm honestly a little embarrassed to say this, but I've spent well over $500 on them."

One Scrappy Mom's beginner guide gives the simplest fix: "Set a spending limit or box limit before buying." Type that limit above, and you'll know what it buys before you're in the store.

Spend on the whole set first, then the extras

With $200 and a 6-figure series, 7 random boxes give you about 4 different figures and 3 repeats. Your chance of owning all 6 is only about 5%.

A whole set at $161.94 gives you all 6 for sure, with $38.06 left for one more box. That box is still a 1 in 72 shot at the secret, so the fun isn't gone.

Our take: the set first, then single boxes only for the thrill.

Questions collectors ask

Why is my chance of a full set so low?

Random boxes repeat. Seven boxes can't promise six different figures, and the last missing one is the hardest to find.

How much would a bigger budget change?

At $500, you'd get 18 boxes, about a 22% chance of the secret and a 77% chance of all 6 regulars. The whole set is still cheaper for the regulars.

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